Trump-inspired candidate narrowly ahead in Poland's presidential election, second exit poll shows

Conservative historian Karol Nawrocki, who draws inspiration from Donald Trump, is set to narrowly win Poland's presidential election, according to a late exit poll.

An Ipsos poll said Mr Nawrocki has secured 50.7% of votes while his opponent, the Liberal pro-EU candidate Rafal Trzaskowski, has 49.3%. The late exit poll was released just hours after a previous one called the result the other way round.

The first - also by Ipsos - said Mr Nawrocki was on track to receive 49.7% of the votes, with his rival on 50.3%. Both polls have margins of error of two percentage points.

The electoral commission has said it hopes the final results will be announced on Monday morning or in the afternoon. After the first poll, both men declared victory.

Mr Trzaskowski, 53, has promised to ease abortion restrictions, introduce civil partnerships for LGBT couples and promote constructive ties with European partners. Appearing at an election evening event in Warsaw, he waved as a crowd chanted his name.

"We won," Mr Trzaskowski told supporters, before vowing to be a president for all Poles, including those who did not vote for him. He continued: "This is truly a special moment in Poland's history.

I am convinced that it will allow us to move forward and focus on the future. I will be your president." But Mr Nawrocki, 42, said he believed the vote would turn in his favour.

"We will win and save Poland," he said. "We must win tonight." He had positioned himself as a defender of traditional Polish values, aligning himself with US conservatives, including Mr Trump, and showing scepticism towards the EU.

The vote has been closely watched in neighbouring Ukraine as well as in Russia, the European Union and the United States - and the final outcome will decide whether Poland pivots towards more liberal norms or takes a more nationalist path. Read more from Sky News:Ukraine in 'large-scale operation' to destroy Russian bombersTwo dead and hundreds of arrests after PSG win Poland's new president will have significant influence over whether the country's centrist government can fulfil its agenda, given the presidential power to veto laws.

This runoff follows a tightly-contested first round of voting in May, which saw Mr Trzaskowski win just over 31% and Mr Nawrocki nearly 30%, eliminating 11 other candidates..